| DC Field | Value | Language |
|---|---|---|
| dc.contributor | School of Hotel and Tourism Management | en_US |
| dc.creator | Song, H | en_US |
| dc.creator | Liu, A | en_US |
| dc.creator | Li, G | en_US |
| dc.creator | Liu, X | en_US |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2021-05-05T04:56:55Z | - |
| dc.date.available | 2021-05-05T04:56:55Z | - |
| dc.identifier.issn | 1099-2340 | en_US |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10397/89707 | - |
| dc.language.iso | en | en_US |
| dc.publisher | John Wiley & Sons | en_US |
| dc.subject | Bagging | en_US |
| dc.subject | Bayesian | en_US |
| dc.subject | Forecasting | en_US |
| dc.subject | General-to-specific | en_US |
| dc.subject | Tourism demand | en_US |
| dc.title | Bayesian bootstrap aggregation for tourism demand forecasting | en_US |
| dc.type | Journal/Magazine Article | en_US |
| dc.identifier.doi | 10.1002/jtr.2453 | en_US |
| dcterms.abstract | Limited historical data are the primary cause of the failure of tourism forecasts. Bayesian bootstrap aggregation (BBagging) may offer a solution to this problem. This study is the first to apply BBagging to tourism demand forecasting. An analysis of annual and quarterly tourism demand for Hong Kong shows that BBagging can, in general, improve the forecasting accuracy of the econometric models obtained using the general-to-specific (GETS) approach by reducing, relative to the ordinary bagging method, the variability in the posterior distributions of the forecasts it generates. | en_US |
| dcterms.accessRights | embargoed access | en_US |
| dcterms.bibliographicCitation | International journal of tourism research, 2021, Early View, https://doi.org/10.1002/jtr.2453 | en_US |
| dcterms.isPartOf | International journal of tourism research | en_US |
| dcterms.issued | 2021 | - |
| dc.identifier.scopus | 2-s2.0-85104543023 | - |
| dc.identifier.eissn | 1522-1970 | en_US |
| dc.description.validate | 202105 bcwh | en_US |
| dc.description.oa | Not applicable | en_US |
| dc.identifier.FolderNumber | a0876-n01 | - |
| dc.identifier.SubFormID | 2091 | - |
| dc.description.fundingSource | Others | en_US |
| dc.description.fundingText | P0013967 | en_US |
| dc.description.pubStatus | Early release | en_US |
| dc.date.embargo | 0000-00-00 (to be updated) | en_US |
| Appears in Collections: | Journal/Magazine Article | |
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